cycle psychology is the overlooked driver of treasury policy

Attention jumps quickly; capital moves more slowly.

The healthier setup is alignment: token unlocks improving while drawdown recovery stays orderly.

Put beside current chatter on “Binance begins second withdrawal phase, exchange outflows slow,” the incentive problem looks clearer.

In that environment, patience is a position, not a slogan.

The healthier setup is alignment: exchange reserves improving while compliance tooling stays orderly.

The gap between cycle psychology and open interest is where false confidence usually builds.

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