self-custody adoption is fragmenting basis compression: reading the Justin Accuses tape
Ignoring open interest because cycle psychology looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.
If both self-custody adoption and developer activity improve together, follow-through is more believable.
Even when feeds obsess over “Justin Sun Accuses Trump,” the durable question remains process versus prediction.
Most blow-ups start as comfortable consensus.
In that environment, patience is a position, not a slogan.
Historically, stretches where stablecoin settlement leads without support from cross-exchange spreads invite sharper reversals.
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